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<<<PMA1177>>> APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

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LTPC
4004

Course Objectives

  • To provide a foundation on topics in applied probability and statistical methods needed for modern optimization methods and risk modeling.
  • To address the issues and the principles of estimation theory, testing of hypothesis and multivariate analysis.

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Unit IProbability and Random Variables12

Random variables – Probability function – Moments – Moment generating functions and their properties – Binomial, Poisson, Geometric, Uniform, Exponential, Gamma and Normal distributions.

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Unit IITwo Dimensional Random Variables12

Joint distributions – Marginal and conditional distributions – Transformation of two dimensional randomvariables – Correlation and regression

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Unit IIIEstimation Theory12

Unbiased estimators – Method of moments – Maximum likelihood estimation – Curve fitting by principle of least squares – Regression lines.

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Unit IVTesting of Hypothesis12

Large sample test based on Normal distribution for single mean and difference of means – Tests based on t, and F distributions for testing means and variances – Contingency table (Test for Independency) – Goodness of fit.

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Unit VMultivariate Analysis12

Random vectors and matrices – Mean vectors and covariance matrices – Multivariate normal density and its properties – Principal components – Population principal components – Principal components from standardized variables

\hfill Total: 60

Course Outcomes

After the completion of this course, students will be able to demonstrate competency in:

  • Basic probability axioms and rules and the moments of discrete and continuous random variables (K3).
  • Consistency, efficiency and unbiasedness of estimators, method of maximum likelihood estimation and Central Limit Theorem (K3).
  • Use statistical tests in testing hypotheses on data (K3).
  • Perform exploratory analysis of multivariate data, such as multivariate normal density, calculating descriptive statistics, testing for multivariate normality (K3).
  • Use of the appropriate and relevant, fundamental and applied mathematical and statistical knowledge, methodologies and modern computational tools (K3).

References

  1. Devore J. L., “Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences”, 8th Edition, Cengage Learning, 2014.
  2. Dallas E. Johnson, “Applied Multivariate Methods for Data Analysis”, Thomson and Duxbury Press, 1998.
  3. Gupta S. C. and Kapoor V. K., “Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics”, Sultan and Sons, New Delhi, 2001.
  4. Johnson R. A., Miller I. and Freund J., “Miller and Freund’s Probability and Statistics for Engineers”, Pearson Education, Asia, 8th Edition, 2015.
  5. Richard A. Johnson and Dean W. Wichern, “Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis”, 5th Edition, Pearson Education, Asia, 2002.
PO1PO2PO3PO4PO5PO6PO7PO8PO9PO10PO11
K3K6K6K6K6
CO1K23
CO2K33
CO3K33
CO4K33
CO5K43
Score15
Course Mapping3