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If you just want to predict the posterior over the latent |
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I have a set of observations, f_i=f(x_i), and I want to construct a probabilistic surrogate, f(x) ~ N[mu(x), sigma(x)], where N is a normal distribution. Each observed output, f_i, is associated with a measurement uncertainty, sigma_i. I would like to incorporate these measurement uncertainties into my surrogate, f_i, so that mu(x) predicts the observations, f_i(x_i), and that the predicted standard deviation, sigma(x_i), envelops the uncertainty in the observed output, epsilon_i.
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