references_overall.bib

@book{gerber2012field,
  title={Field Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation},
  author={Gerber, A. S. and Green, D. P.},
  year={2012},
  publisher={W.W. Norton},
  address={New York}
}

@article{di2018populism,
  title={Populism and the Return of the “Paranoid Style”: Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal},
  author={Di Tella, R. and Rotemberg, J.},
  journal={Journal of Comparative Economics},
  volume={46},
  number={4},
  pages={988--1005},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

 @book{angrist2009mostly,
  title={Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion},
  author={Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J\-S.},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
  address={New Jersey}
}


@book{angrist2014mastering,
  title={Mastering metrics: The path from cause to effect},
  author={Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J\-S.},
  year={2014},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
address={New Jersey}
}

@book{morgan2015counterfactuals,
  title={Counterfactuals and Causal Inference},
  author={Morgan, S. L. and Winship, C.},
  year={2015},
edition={Second},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}


@misc{grady2020ten,
	title = {10 Things to Know About Survey Experiments },
howpublished = {https://egap.org/resource/10-things-to-know-about-survey-experiments/},
      author={Grady, C.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {egap},
	year = {2020}
}

@book{persson2002political,
  title={Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy},
  author={Persson, T. and Tabellini, G. E.},
  year={2002},
  publisher={MIT Press},
address={Cambridge, MA}
}

@book{mutz2011population,
  title={Population-Based Survey Experiments},
  author={Mutz, D. C},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
address={New Jersey}
}

@techreport{rogoff1987equilibrium,
  title={Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles},
  author={Rogoff, K.},
  year={1987},
  institution={National Bureau of Economic Research}
}

@book{green2017politics,
  title={The Politics of Competence: Parties, Public Opinion and Voters},
  author={Green, J. and Jennings, W.},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@misc{mckay2018how,
	title = {How important are competence and leadership in people's party choice?},
howpublished = {https://www.hansardsociety.org.uk/blog/how-important-are-competence-and-leadership-in-peoples-party-choice},
      author={McKay, L.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {Hansard Society},
	year = {2018}
}

@article{bartle2005homogeneous,
  title={Homogeneous Models and Heterogeneous Voters},
  author={Bartle, J.},
  journal={Political Studies},
  volume={53},
  number={4},
  pages={653--675},
  year={2005},
  publisher={SAGE Publications Sage UK: London, England}
}

@misc{fletcher2020johnson,
	title = {Boris Johnson's first year as PM: incompetence and maliciousness},
howpublished = {https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2020/07/boris-johnson-s-first-year-pm-incompetence-and-maliciousness},
      author={Fletcher, M.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {New Statesman},
	year = {2020}
}

@techreport{kavakli2020did,
  title={Did Populist Leaders Respond to the COVID-19 Pandemic More Slowly? Evidence from a Global Sample},
  author={Kavakli, K. C.},
  year={2020},
  institution={Bocconi University Working Paper}
}

@article{colantone2018trade,
  title={The trade origins of economic nationalism: Import competition and voting behavior in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, Italo and Stanig, Piero},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={62},
  number={4},
  pages={936--953},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@book{sobolewska2020brexitland,
  title={Brexitland: Identity, Diversity and the Reshaping of British Politics},
  author={Sobolewska, M. and Ford, R.},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@article{hobolt2016brexit,
  title={The Brexit vote: A Divided Nation, A Divided Continent},
  author={Hobolt, Sara B},
  journal={Journal of European Public Policy},
  volume={23},
  number={9},
  pages={1259--1277},
  year={2016},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis}
}

@article{colantone2019surge,
  title={The Surge of Economic Nationalism in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, I. and Stanig, P.},
  journal={Journal of Economic Perspectives},
  volume={33},
  number={4},
  pages={128--51},
  year={2019}
}

@article{colantone2018economic,
  title={The Economic Determinants of the'Cultural Backlash': Globalization and Attitudes in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, I. and Stanig, P.},
  journal={BAFFI CAREFIN Centre Research Paper},
  number={2018-91},
  year={2018}
}

@article{chetty2016effects,
  title={The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment},
  author={Chetty, R. and Hendren, N. and Katz, L. F},
  journal={American Economic Review},
  volume={106},
  number={4},
  pages={855--902},
  year={2016}
}

@article{arnorsson2018causes,
  title={On the Causes of Brexit},
  author={Arnorsson, A. and Zoega, G.},
  journal={European Journal of Political Economy},
  volume={55},
  pages={301--323},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{ludwig2013long,
  title={Long-term neighborhood effects on low-income families: Evidence from Moving to Opportunity},
  author={Ludwig, J. and Duncan, G. J. and Gennetian, L. A. and Katz, L. F. and Kessler, R. C. and Kling, J. R. and Sanbonmatsu, L.},
  journal={American Economic Review},
  volume={103},
  number={3},
  pages={226--231},
  year={2013}
}



@book{morgan2015counterfactuals,
  title={Counterfactuals and Causal Inference},
  author={Morgan, S. L. and Winship, C.},
  year={2015},
edition={Second},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}


@book{gerber2012field,
  title={Field Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation},
  author={Gerber, A. S. and Green, D. P.},
  year={2012},
  publisher={W.W. Norton},
  address={New York}
}

@article{di2018populism,
  title={Populism and the Return of the “Paranoid Style”: Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal},
  author={Di Tella, R. and Rotemberg, J.},
  journal={Journal of Comparative Economics},
  volume={46},
  number={4},
  pages={988--1005},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

 @book{angrist2009mostly,
  title={Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion},
  author={Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J-S.},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
  address={New Jersey}
}

@misc{grady2020ten,
	title = {10 Things to Know About Survey Experiments },
howpublished = {https://egap.org/resource/10-things-to-know-about-survey-experiments/},
      author={Grady, C.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {egap},
	year = {2020}
}

@book{persson2002political,
  title={Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy},
  author={Persson, T. and Tabellini, G. E.},
  year={2002},
  publisher={MIT Press},
address={Cambridge, MA}
}

@book{mutz2011population,
  title={Population-Based Survey Experiments},
  author={Mutz, D. C},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
address={New Jersey}
}

@techreport{rogoff1987equilibrium,
  title={Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles},
  author={Rogoff, K.},
  year={1987},
  institution={National Bureau of Economic Research}
}

@book{green2017politics,
  title={The Politics of Competence: Parties, Public Opinion and Voters},
  author={Green, J. and Jennings, W.},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@misc{mckay2018how,
	title = {How important are competence and leadership in people's party choice?},
howpublished = {https://www.hansardsociety.org.uk/blog/how-important-are-competence-and-leadership-in-peoples-party-choice},
      author={McKay, L.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {Hansard Society},
	year = {2018}
}

@article{bartle2005homogeneous,
  title={Homogeneous Models and Heterogeneous Voters},
  author={Bartle, J.},
  journal={Political Studies},
  volume={53},
  number={4},
  pages={653--675},
  year={2005},
  publisher={SAGE Publications Sage UK: London, England}
}

@misc{fletcher2020johnson,
	title = {Boris Johnson's first year as PM: incompetence and maliciousness},
howpublished = {https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2020/07/boris-johnson-s-first-year-pm-incompetence-and-maliciousness},
      author={Fletcher, M.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {New Statesman},
	year = {2020}
}

@techreport{kavakli2020did,
  title={Did Populist Leaders Respond to the COVID-19 Pandemic More Slowly? Evidence from a Global Sample},
  author={Kavakli, K. C.},
  year={2020},
  institution={Bocconi University Working Paper}
}

@article{colantone2018trade,
  title={The trade origins of economic nationalism: Import competition and voting behavior in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, Italo and Stanig, Piero},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={62},
  number={4},
  pages={936--953},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@book{sobolewska2020brexitland,
  title={Brexitland: Identity, Diversity and the Reshaping of British Politics},
  author={Sobolewska, M. and Ford, R.},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@article{hobolt2016brexit,
  title={The Brexit vote: A Divided Nation, A Divided Continent},
  author={Hobolt, Sara B},
  journal={Journal of European Public Policy},
  volume={23},
  number={9},
  pages={1259--1277},
  year={2016},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis}
}

@article{colantone2019surge,
  title={The Surge of Economic Nationalism in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, I. and Stanig, P.},
  journal={Journal of Economic Perspectives},
  volume={33},
  number={4},
  pages={128--51},
  year={2019}
}

@article{colantone2018economic,
  title={The Economic Determinants of the'Cultural Backlash': Globalization and Attitudes in Western Europe},
  author={Colantone, I. and Stanig, P.},
  journal={BAFFI CAREFIN Centre Research Paper},
  number={2018-91},
  year={2018}
}

@article{chetty2016effects,
  title={The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment},
  author={Chetty, R. and Hendren, N. and Katz, L. F},
  journal={American Economic Review},
  volume={106},
  number={4},
  pages={855--902},
  year={2016}
}

@article{arnorsson2018causes,
  title={On the Causes of Brexit},
  author={Arnorsson, A. and Zoega, G.},
  journal={European Journal of Political Economy},
  volume={55},
  pages={301--323},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{ludwig2013long,
  title={Long-term neighborhood effects on low-income families: Evidence from Moving to Opportunity},
  author={Ludwig, J. and Duncan, G. J. and Gennetian, L. A. and Katz, L. F. and Kessler, R. C. and Kling, J. R. and Sanbonmatsu, L.},
  journal={American Economic Review},
  volume={103},
  number={3},
  pages={226--231},
  year={2013}
}

@article{ferwerda2014political,
  title={Political Devolution and Resistance to Foreign Rule: A Natural Experiment},
  author={Ferwerda, J. and Miller, N. L.},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
 volume={108},
number={3},
  pages={642--660},
  year={2014},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}

@article{kocher2016lines,
  title={Lines of Demarcation: Causation, Design-Based Inference, and Historical Research},
  author={Kocher, M. A. and Monteiro, N. P.},
  journal={Perspectives on Politics},
  volume={14},
  number={4},
  pages={952},
  year={2016},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press}
}

@article{kocher2015s,
  title={What's in a Line? Natural Experiments and the Line of Demarcation in WWII Occupied France},
  author={Kocher, M. A. and Monteiro, N. P.},
  journal={Natural Experiments and the Line of Demarcation in WWII Occupied France},
  year={2015}
}

@article{glaeser2002legal,
  title={Legal Origins},
  author={Glaeser, E. L. and Shleifer, A.},
  journal={The Quarterly Journal of Economics},
  volume={117},
  number={4},
  pages={1193--1229},
  year={2002},
  publisher={MIT Press}
}

@book{hayek2020constitution,
  title={The Constitution of Liberty: The Definitive Edition},
  author={Hayek, F. A.},
  year={2011},
  publisher={The University of Chicago Press},
address={Chicago}
}

@article{ferwerda2015rail,
  title={Rail Lines and Demarcation Lines: A Response},
  author={Ferwerda, J. and Miller, N. L.},
  journal={Available at SSRN 2628508},
  year={2015}
}

@article{acemoglu2001colonial,
  title={The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation},
  author={Acemoglu, D. and Johnson, S. and Robinson, J. A.},
  journal={American Economic Review},
  volume={91},
  number={5},
  pages={1369--1401},
  year={2001}
}

@book{wooldridge2013introductory,
  title={Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach},
  author={Wooldridge, J. M},
  year={2012},
  publisher={South-Westen Cengage Learning},
edition={5}
}

@book{stock2015introduction,
  title={Introduction to Econometrics},
  author={Stock, J. H. and Watson, M. W.},
  year={2015},
publisher={Pearson Education Limited},
address={Essex}
}

@article{samii2016causal,
  title={Causal Empiricism in Quantitative Research},
  author={Samii, C.},
  journal={The Journal of Politics},
  volume={78},
  number={3},
  pages={941--955},
  year={2016},
  publisher={University of Chicago Press Chicago, IL}
}

@book{weber2002protestant,
  title={The Protestant Ethic and the 'Spirit' of Capitalism and Other Writings},
  author={Weber, M.},
  year={2002},
  publisher={Penguin},
address={London}
}

@book{cunningham2021causal,
  title={Causal inference: The Mixtape},
  author={Cunningham, S.},
  year={2021},
  publisher={Yale University Press},
address={New Haven}
}

@article{kocher2011aerial,
  title={Aerial Bombing and Counterinsurgency in the Vietnam War},
  author={Kocher, M. A. and Pepinsky, T. B. and Kalyvas, S. N. },
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={55},
  number={2},
  pages={201--218},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{austin2011introduction,
  title={An Introduction to Propensity Score Methods for Reducing the Effects of Confounding in Observational Studies},
  author={Austin, P. C.},
  journal={Multivariate behavioral research},
  volume={46},
  number={3},
  pages={399--424},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis}
}

@book{morgan2015counterfactuals,
  title={Counterfactuals and Causal Inference},
  author={Morgan, S. L. and Winship, C.},
  year={2015},
edition={Second},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}


@book{angrist2008mostly,
  title={Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion},
  author={Angrist, J.D. and Pischke, J.S.},
  year={2008},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
address={New Jersey}
}


@article{fowler2013electoral,
  title={Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia},
  author={Fowler, A.},
  journal={Quarterly Journal of Political Science},
  volume={8},
  number={2},
  pages={159--182},
  year={2013}
}

@article{broockman2009congressional,
  title={Do Congressional Candidates Have Reverse Coattails? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design},
  author={Broockman, D. E.},
  journal={Political Analysis},
  pages={418--434}, 

  year={2009},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}

@book{angrist2009mostly,
  title={Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion},
  author={Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J-S.},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
  address={New Jersey}
}

@book{cattaneo2019practical,
  title={A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Foundations},
  author={Cattaneo, M. D. and Idrobo, N. and Titiunik, R.},
  year={2019},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}


@article{fowler2013electoral,
  title={Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia},
  author={Fowler, A.},
  journal={Quarterly Journal of Political Science},
  volume={8},
  number={2},
  pages={159--182},
  year={2013}
}

@article{broockman2009congressional,
  title={Do Congressional Candidates Have Reverse Coattails? Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design},
  author={Broockman, D. E.},
  journal={Political Analysis},
  pages={418--434},
  year={2009},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}

@book{angrist2009mostly,
  title={Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion},
  author={Angrist, J. D. and Pischke, J-S.},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Princeton University Press},
  address={New Jersey}
}

@book{cattaneo2019practical,
  title={A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Foundations},
  author={Cattaneo, M. D. and Idrobo, N. and Titiunik, R.},
  year={2019},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@book{gailmard2014statistical,
  title={Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science},
  author={Gailmard, S.},
  year={2014},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press},
address={Cambridge}
}

@article{gonzalez2014conditionality,
  title={The Conditionality of Vote-Buying Norms: Experimental Evidence from Latin America},
  author={Gonzalez Ocantos, E. and De Jonge, C. K. and Nickerson, D. W.},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={58},
  number={1},
  pages={197--211},
  year={2014},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@book{gerber2012field,
  title={Field Experiments: Design, Analysis, and Interpretation},
  author={Gerber, A. S. and Green, D. P.},
  year={2012},
  publisher={W.W. Norton},
  address={New York}
}

@misc{grady2020ten,
	title = {10 Things to Know About Survey Experiments },
howpublished = {https://egap.org/resource/10-things-to-know-about-survey-experiments/},
      author={Grady, C.},
	urldate = {2021-01-07},
	note = {egap},
	year = {2020}
}


@article{hall2015happens,
  title={What happens when extremists win primaries?},
  author={Hall, Andrew B},
  journal={American Political Science Review},
  volume={109},
  number={1},
  pages={18--42},
  year={2015},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press}
}


@article{imbens2012optimal,
  title={Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator},
  author={Imbens, Guido and Kalyanaraman, Karthik},
  journal={The Review of economic studies},
  volume={79},
  number={3},
  pages={933--959},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Oxford University Press}
}


@article{bechtel2011lasting,
  title={How lasting is voter gratitude? An analysis of the short-and long-term electoral returns to beneficial policy},
  author={Bechtel, Michael M and Hainmueller, Jens},
  journal={American Journal of Political Science},
  volume={55},
  number={4},
  pages={852--868},
  year={2011},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{bertrand2004much,
  title={How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates?},
  author={Bertrand, Marianne and Duflo, Esther and Mullainathan, Sendhil},
  journal={The Quarterly journal of economics},
  volume={119},
  number={1},
  pages={249--275},
  year={2004},
  publisher={MIT Press}
}

@article{nickell1981biases,
  title={Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects},
  author={Nickell, Stephen},
  journal={Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society},
  pages={1417--1426},
  year={1981},
  publisher={JSTOR}
}

@article{plumper2007efficient,
  title={Efficient estimation of time-invariant and rarely changing variables in finite sample panel analyses with unit fixed effects},
  author={Pl{\"u}mper, Thomas and Troeger, Vera E},
  journal={Political analysis},
  volume={15},
  number={2},
  pages={124--139},
  year={2007},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press}
}

@article{mummolo2018improving,
  title={Improving the interpretation of fixed effects regression results},
  author={Mummolo, Jonathan and Peterson, Erik},
  journal={Political Science Research and Methods},
  volume={6},
  number={4},
  pages={829--835},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Cambridge University Press}
}

@article{lyall2009does,
  title={Does indiscriminate violence incite insurgent attacks? Evidence from Chechnya},
  author={Lyall, Jason},
  journal={Journal of Conflict Resolution},
  volume={53},
  number={3},
  pages={331--362},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Sage Publications Sage CA: Los Angeles, CA}
}

@article{goldin2000orchestrating,
  title={Orchestrating impartiality: The impact of 'blind' auditions on female musicians},
  author={Goldin, Claudia and Rouse, Cecilia},
  journal={American economic review},
  volume={90},
  number={4},
  pages={715--741},
  year={2000}
}

@article{bertrand2004much,
  title={How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates?},
  author={Bertrand, Marianne and Duflo, Esther and Mullainathan, Sendhil},
  journal={The Quarterly journal of economics},
  volume={119},
  number={1},
  pages={249--275},
  year={2004},
  publisher={MIT Press}
}

@article{lovell1963seasonal,
  title={Seasonal adjustment of economic time series and multiple regression analysis},
  author={Lovell, Michael C},
  journal={Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  volume={58},
  number={304},
  pages={993--1010},
  year={1963},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis}
}

@article{kahn2020promise,
  title={The promise and pitfalls of differences-in-differences: Reflections on 16 and pregnant and other applications},
  author={Kahn-Lang, Ariella and Lang, Kevin},
  journal={Journal of Business \& Economic Statistics},
  volume={38},
  number={3},
  pages={613--620},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Taylor \& Francis}
}


@article{cinelli2021crash,
  title={A crash course in good and bad controls},
  author={Cinelli, Carlos and Forney, Andrew and Pearl, Judea},
  journal={Sociological Methods \& Research},
  pages={00491241221099552},
  year={2021},
  publisher={SAGE Publications Sage CA: Los Angeles, CA}
}

@article{hunermund2020nuisance,
  title={On the nuisance of control variables in regression analysis},
  author={H{\"u}nermund, Paul and Louw, Beyers},
  journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.10314},
  year={2020}
}