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TTR::volatility seems wrong in the default case #13

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ivannp opened this issue Apr 28, 2015 · 3 comments
Open

TTR::volatility seems wrong in the default case #13

ivannp opened this issue Apr 28, 2015 · 3 comments

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@ivannp
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ivannp commented Apr 28, 2015

if( isTRUE(mean0) ) {
      # This is an alternative SD calculation using an effective mean of 0
      s <- sqrt(N) * sqrt(runSum(r^2, n-1) / (n-2))
    } else {
      # This is the standard SD calculation using the sample mean
      s <- sqrt(N) * runSD(r, n-1)
    }

runSD(r, n-1) - why do we compute the SD using n-1 bars? runSD already computes the SD of the mean (the default for the "sample" parameter is TRUE). I suspect that the formula in the mean0=TRUE case has similar issue - the n-2 looks suspicious.

@joshuaulrich
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Thanks for the report. I certainly agree that the standard calculation with n-1 observations looks odd... and the mean0 calculation was based on that, which is probably why the n-2 is there (subtract one more observation).

I used this site when coding these volatility functions.

@ivannp
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ivannp commented Apr 28, 2015

Hmm, looks like the site has the equation in this manner, since N is the number of CLOSING observations. For N closes, we have N-1 returns and so on. I guess that's one approach, but is it consistent for the other estimators (i.e. Yang-Zhang)? There I think we take N returns (or ratios).

@braverock
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see

?var

which says:

"The denominator n - 1 is used which gives an unbiased estimator of
the (co)variance for i.i.d. observations."

Obviously, this applies to volatility as well as variance.

On 04/27/2015 10:41 PM, Ivan Popivanov wrote:

Hmm, looks like the site has the equation in this manner, since N is the
number of CLOSING observations. For N closes, we have N-1 returns and so
on. I guess that's one approach, but is it consistent for the other
estimators (i.e. Yang-Zhang)? There I think we take N returns (or ratios).


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#13 (comment).

Brian G. Peterson
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