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In order to model the irregular sampled times series we use CAR
(Brockwell and Davis, 2002), a continious time auto regressive model.
CAR process has three parameters, it provides a natural and consistent way of estimating a characteristic time scale and variance of light-curves. CAR process is described by the following stochastic differential equation:
$$dX(t) = - \frac{1}{\tau} X(t)dt +
\sigma_C \sqrt{dt} \epsilon(t) + bdt, \\\
for \: \tau, \sigma_C, t \geq 0$$
where the mean value of the lightcurve X(t) is b**τ and the variance is $\frac{\tau\sigma_C^2}{2}$. τ is the relaxation time of the process X(t), it can be interpreted as describing the variability amplitude of the time series. σC can be interpreted as describing the variability of the time series on time scales shorter than τ. ϵ(t) is a white noise process with zero mean and variance equal to one.
The likelihood function of a CAR model for a light-curve with observations x − {x1, …, xn} observed at times {t1, …, tn} with measurements error variances {δ12, …, δn2} is:
To find the optimal parameters we maximize the likelihood with respect to σC and τ and calculate b as the mean magnitude of the light-curve divided by τ.
Create plot routine for extractor
CAR
.Path: feets.extractors.ext_car.py
Features
CAR_mean
CAR_sigma
CAR_tau
Extractor Documentation
In order to model the irregular sampled times series we use CAR
(Brockwell and Davis, 2002), a continious time auto regressive model.
CAR process has three parameters, it provides a natural and consistent way of estimating a characteristic time scale and variance of light-curves. CAR process is described by the following stochastic differential equation:
where the mean value of the lightcurve X(t) is b**τ and the variance is$\frac{\tau\sigma_C^2}{2}$ . τ is the relaxation time of the process X(t), it can be interpreted as describing the variability amplitude of the time series. σC can be interpreted as describing the variability of the time series on time scales shorter than τ. ϵ(t) is a white noise process with zero mean and variance equal to one.
The likelihood function of a CAR model for a light-curve with observations x − {x1, …, xn} observed at times {t1, …, tn} with measurements error variances {δ12, …, δn2} is:
To find the optimal parameters we maximize the likelihood with respect to σC and τ and calculate b as the mean magnitude of the light-curve divided by τ.
References
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