Merge pull request #32 from kdorheim/rerun_experiments

Reran old experiments
JGCRI · Jul 3, 2024 · dad4f50 · dad4f50
2 parents b46f63f + e2011d1
commit dad4f50
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Showing 32 changed files with 808 additions and 57 deletions.
diff --git a/results/01_initial_experiment.txt b/results/01_initial_experiment.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.528253602365166
+q10_rh	1.76
+diff	2.3843958670058
+
+Objective Function Value: 2.3
+Counts: 15
+Counts: 15
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 4.57
+T MSE:   0.0357
+RMSE:    2.14
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.51
+TCR:  1.77
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.731
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 472
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 3.87
+Methane ERF:               0.54
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.73
+ssp119	2041	2060	0.895
+ssp119	2081	2100	0.717
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.745
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.08
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.1
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.75
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.29
+ssp245	2081	2100	1.98
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.761
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.43
+ssp370	2081	2100	2.94
+ssp585	2021	2040	0.877
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.74
+ssp585	2081	2100	3.79
diff --git a/results/02_smooth_temps_3yr.txt b/results/02_smooth_temps_3yr.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.528263071532207
+q10_rh	1.76
+diff	2.37997014792955
+
+Objective Function Value: 2.3
+Counts: 6
+Counts: 6
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 4.57
+T MSE:   0.0357
+RMSE:    2.14
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.51
+TCR:  1.77
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.731
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 471
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 3.87
+Methane ERF:               0.54
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.73
+ssp119	2041	2060	0.895
+ssp119	2081	2100	0.717
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.745
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.08
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.1
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.75
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.29
+ssp245	2081	2100	1.98
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.761
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.43
+ssp370	2081	2100	2.94
+ssp585	2021	2040	0.877
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.74
+ssp585	2081	2100	3.79
diff --git a/results/03_smooth_temps_5yr.txt b/results/03_smooth_temps_5yr.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.528262971929169
+q10_rh	1.76
+diff	2.37997009562544
+
+Objective Function Value: 2.3
+Counts: 6
+Counts: 6
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 4.57
+T MSE:   0.0357
+RMSE:    2.14
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.51
+TCR:  1.77
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.731
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 471
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 3.87
+Methane ERF:               0.54
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.73
+ssp119	2041	2060	0.895
+ssp119	2081	2100	0.717
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.745
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.08
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.1
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.75
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.29
+ssp245	2081	2100	1.98
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.761
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.43
+ssp370	2081	2100	2.94
+ssp585	2021	2040	0.877
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.74
+ssp585	2081	2100	3.79
diff --git a/results/04_smooth_temps_10yr.txt b/results/04_smooth_temps_10yr.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.5282627568606
+q10_rh	1.76
+diff	2.37996967686392
+
+Objective Function Value: 2.3
+Counts: 6
+Counts: 6
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 4.57
+T MSE:   0.0357
+RMSE:    2.14
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.51
+TCR:  1.77
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.731
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 471
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 3.87
+Methane ERF:               0.54
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.73
+ssp119	2041	2060	0.895
+ssp119	2081	2100	0.717
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.745
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.08
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.1
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.75
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.29
+ssp245	2081	2100	1.98
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.761
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.43
+ssp370	2081	2100	2.94
+ssp585	2021	2040	0.877
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.74
+ssp585	2081	2100	3.79
diff --git a/results/05_NMSE.txt b/results/05_NMSE.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.268
+q10_rh	2.64
+diff	2.2
+
+Objective Function Value: 0.000565
+Counts: 11
+Counts: 11
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: NORM OF PROJECTED GRADIENT <= PGTOL
+
+CO2 MSE: 173
+T MSE:   0.0211
+RMSE:    13.2
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.72
+TCR:  1.79
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.925
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 557
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 4.38
+Methane ERF:               0.544
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.857
+ssp119	2041	2060	1.14
+ssp119	2081	2100	1.11
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.871
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.32
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.53
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.875
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.53
+ssp245	2081	2100	2.48
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.885
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.67
+ssp370	2081	2100	3.42
+ssp585	2021	2040	1
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.99
+ssp585	2081	2100	4.29
diff --git a/results/05_NMSE_big_box.txt b/results/05_NMSE_big_box.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0
+q10_rh	1.49599440204924
+diff	2.6
+
+Objective Function Value: 0.000406
+Counts: 23
+Counts: 23
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 918
+T MSE:   0.0143
+RMSE:    30.3
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.69
+TCR:  1.74
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              1.1
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 684
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 4.88
+Methane ERF:               0.549
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.885
+ssp119	2041	2060	1.19
+ssp119	2081	2100	1.17
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.897
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.38
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.61
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.9
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.57
+ssp245	2081	2100	2.53
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.909
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.7
+ssp370	2081	2100	3.42
+ssp585	2021	2040	1.02
+ssp585	2041	2060	2
+ssp585	2081	2100	4.24
diff --git a/results/06_smooth_temps_nmse_3yr.txt b/results/06_smooth_temps_nmse_3yr.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.268
+q10_rh	2.64
+diff	2.2
+
+Objective Function Value: 0.00046
+Counts: 11
+Counts: 11
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: NORM OF PROJECTED GRADIENT <= PGTOL
+
+CO2 MSE: 173
+T MSE:   0.0211
+RMSE:    13.2
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.72
+TCR:  1.79
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.925
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 557
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 4.38
+Methane ERF:               0.544
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.857
+ssp119	2041	2060	1.14
+ssp119	2081	2100	1.11
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.871
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.32
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.53
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.875
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.53
+ssp245	2081	2100	2.48
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.885
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.67
+ssp370	2081	2100	3.42
+ssp585	2021	2040	1
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.99
+ssp585	2081	2100	4.29
diff --git a/results/06_smooth_temps_nmse_3yr_big_box.txt b/results/06_smooth_temps_nmse_3yr_big_box.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0
+q10_rh	1.57851439895725
+diff	2.6
+
+Objective Function Value: 0.000289
+Counts: 19
+Counts: 19
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: REL_REDUCTION_OF_F <= FACTR*EPSMCH
+
+CO2 MSE: 937
+T MSE:   0.0143
+RMSE:    30.6
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.7
+TCR:  1.74
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              1.1
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 687
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 4.89
+Methane ERF:               0.549
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.889
+ssp119	2041	2060	1.2
+ssp119	2081	2100	1.2
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.902
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.38
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.63
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.905
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.58
+ssp245	2081	2100	2.56
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.913
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.71
+ssp370	2081	2100	3.44
+ssp585	2021	2040	1.03
+ssp585	2041	2060	2.01
+ssp585	2081	2100	4.26
diff --git a/results/08_smooth_temps_nmse_10yr.txt b/results/08_smooth_temps_nmse_10yr.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+parameters	values
+beta	0.268
+q10_rh	2.64
+diff	2.2
+
+Objective Function Value: 0.000411
+Counts: 11
+Counts: 11
+Convergence:  0
+Messages: CONVERGENCE: NORM OF PROJECTED GRADIENT <= PGTOL
+
+CO2 MSE: 173
+T MSE:   0.0211
+RMSE:    13.2
+
+***Key Metrics***
+TCRE: 1.72
+TCR:  1.79
+
+***Historical Warming and ERF***
+GSAT Warming:              0.925
+Ocean Heat Content Change: 557
+Total Aerosol ERF:         -1.24
+WMGHG ERF:                 4.38
+Methane ERF:               0.544
+
+***Future Warming***
+scenario	start	end	GSAT
+ssp119	2021	2040	0.857
+ssp119	2041	2060	1.14
+ssp119	2081	2100	1.11
+ssp126	2021	2040	0.871
+ssp126	2041	2060	1.32
+ssp126	2081	2100	1.53
+ssp245	2021	2040	0.875
+ssp245	2041	2060	1.53
+ssp245	2081	2100	2.48
+ssp370	2021	2040	0.885
+ssp370	2041	2060	1.67
+ssp370	2081	2100	3.42
+ssp585	2021	2040	1
+ssp585	2041	2060	1.99
+ssp585	2081	2100	4.29