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A hypothesis test for the house edge of CSGOCrash

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csgocrashedge

This is an old project made in 2020 that I decided to upload here. The goal was to scrape the prior "crashes" on the gambling website WTFskins.com and determine if there existed a house edge or a pattern among the distribution of crashes. I noticed a pattern before but never really analyzed it or looked at why the pattern existed. So now, on November 4th, 2022, I finished a casual report on how the numbers of CSGOCrash results are derived in csgocrash_report.ipynb.

Note: The file visualizations.ipynb contains a lot of me playing around with statistical tests as well as refreshing my knowledge. There are some cool results there not included in the final report such as Anderson-Darling Tests instead of Cramer-von Mises Tests. Those provide much higher test statistics since Anderson-Darling puts more emphasis on the tails of the distribution, and the Pareto Distribution has a very long tail. Also some MLE, where the data doesn't fit since it performed with the house edge included, but a section with latex which I'm pretty proud of.

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csgocrash_report.ipynb for the main report, and visualizations.ipynb for some other side visuals I made that weren't included.

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A hypothesis test for the house edge of CSGOCrash

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